In Minnesota, our surge peaked just before Thanksgiving. Then it unpeaked and went higher. Then is started to go down a little, then Xmas, and it unpeaked again and is probably going to go higher by the weekend. Just in time for the New Years resurgence, which would result in a peak-on-top-of-peak happening about January 8th.
But, that peak will be nothing compared to the Superpeak that will pile on top of that one, because Omicron will sweep through the region. Expect the biggest peak ever to pretty much coincide with the month of January.
And this is really going to mess up school in January. World epidemic expert Michael Osterholm was recently asked what should happen in schools. He was essentially unable to answer because the question is so ridiculous, framed as it is as a request for options. There are no options. He did say, “We may think we are done with Covid, but Covid is not done with us.”
For those who don’t know, the following are entirely or mostly true, as far as I know:
1) 1 In X P-12 teachers will be out with Covid in January.
2) 1 in Y P-12 teachers will be unable to go to work because their daycare shuts down because of Covid in January.
(X and Y are unknown but the ratio is not insignificant.)
3) Same for administrators and students, at various levels.
4) There are no substitutes. That is not the beginning of a sentence where the next word is “for” like “there are no substitutes for good study habits.” There are no substitutes, as in substitute teachers. Short term subs are gone, long term subs were hired up as teachers long ago.
5) There are very few, if any, new teachers coming in to replace those who retired, went crazy and ran away, or died, during this pandemic. Our society has shoved its problems up the nether regions of teachers for long enough, Covid is the last straw, only an idiot would become a teacher these days, and most possible teachers are not idiots. Maybe they will go be truck drivers. So, there is probably a rapidly growing systemic shortage of teachers going on independently of Covid, made worse by Covid.
By mid January we are going to be herding the kids who show up to school into large rooms where cameras controlled by Covid-riddled deans working from home will watch them during the school day, after which they will be picked up by their parents because whatever is left of the school bus system is going to collapse again.
Now’s your chance, Children of Covid! You don’t need no education!
Also note that we are having an actual influenza season this year in the US.
True, and several districts here in W Michigan are finding a significant shortage of bus drivers.
Now’s your chance, Children of Covid! You don’t need no education!
“Hey, COVID — leave those kids alone!”
It won’t, of course. It’s just doing what a virus does. As you write in your next post, we need to better understand our world and its perils — the better to avoid giving the disaster opportunists their opportunities.