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	<title>Electoral College &#8211; Greg Laden&#039;s Blog</title>
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	<title>Electoral College &#8211; Greg Laden&#039;s Blog</title>
	<link>https://gregladen.com/blog</link>
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<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">77525483</site>	<item>
		<title>The End Of America The Free, America The Brave</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/16/the-end-of-america-the-free-america-the-brave/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/16/the-end-of-america-the-free-america-the-brave/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Dec 2016 15:57:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[End of Civilization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[President Donald Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Putin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23452</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Putin probably owns Trump. In the past, Trump has spent enough high profile time traveling in and out of Russia, that any smart intelligence agency would have long ago gotten the goods on such a sloppy self absorbed person. Assume there are movies. Young girls. Whatever. Putin probably owns Trump. The ex KGB officer probably &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/16/the-end-of-america-the-free-america-the-brave/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The End Of America The Free, America The Brave</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/16/the-end-of-america-the-free-america-the-brave/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>308</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23452</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>How to avoid nuclear apocalypse: this will only take you a few minutes.</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/05/how-to-avoid-nuclear-apocalypse-this-will-only-take-you-a-few-minutes/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/05/how-to-avoid-nuclear-apocalypse-this-will-only-take-you-a-few-minutes/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Dec 2016 16:08:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear Devastation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23417</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Right now the number one problem we face in the US is the fact that a) the president of the United States can not be stopped or deterred from launching nuclear missiles if he choses to do so, by design; and b) Donald Trump will be inaugurated, if the electoral college so decides, in January. &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/05/how-to-avoid-nuclear-apocalypse-this-will-only-take-you-a-few-minutes/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">How to avoid nuclear apocalypse: this will only take you a few minutes.</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/12/05/how-to-avoid-nuclear-apocalypse-this-will-only-take-you-a-few-minutes/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>54</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23417</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>You think this year&#8217;s election is strange?</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/24/you-think-this-years-election-is-strange/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/24/you-think-this-years-election-is-strange/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Nov 2016 15:51:35 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electin 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hayes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KKK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Race and Racism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Racism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reconstruction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tilden]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23356</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Clinton beat Trump by a large margin, by electoral standards. A couple of percent is actually a lot these days. Yet so far it appears that Trump won the electoral vote, even though those votes are not yet cast and who knows what is actually going to happen. But this year, strange as it it &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/24/you-think-this-years-election-is-strange/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">You think this year&#8217;s election is strange?</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/24/you-think-this-years-election-is-strange/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23356</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>#TheFirstMonday Movement: How to stop Trump right now</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/11/thefirstmonday-movement-how-to-stop-trump-right-now/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/11/thefirstmonday-movement-how-to-stop-trump-right-now/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Nov 2016 15:43:27 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[#FirstMondayMovement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College Reform]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23286</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Secretary Hillary Clinton won the popular vote. The way the current Electoral College works, Trump won the Electoral Vote. However, from the point of view of Federal Law, he didn&#8217;t win anything yet. The Electors who gather in each state, with each state&#8217;s Secretary of State, to vote on the first Monday after the second &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/11/thefirstmonday-movement-how-to-stop-trump-right-now/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">#TheFirstMonday Movement: How to stop Trump right now</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/11/thefirstmonday-movement-how-to-stop-trump-right-now/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>27</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23286</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Electoral College Vote Three Days Before The Election</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/05/the-electoral-college-vote-three-days-before-the-election/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/05/the-electoral-college-vote-three-days-before-the-election/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Nov 2016 22:00:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral map]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral vote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23242</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Who will win the electoral vote on Tuesday, November 8th? It is not what you say, but how you say it. For several days now, I&#8217;ve been told by some how totally wrong I am in my various analyses of the electoral map. Half the naysayers say &#8220;But but FiveThirtyEight says this, so you are &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/05/the-electoral-college-vote-three-days-before-the-election/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Electoral College Vote Three Days Before The Election</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/05/the-electoral-college-vote-three-days-before-the-election/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>11</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23242</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Electoral College Map One Week Out: Clinton Victory Likely But Not Assured</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2016 14:56:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chance of Clinton win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral map]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral vote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FiveThirtyEight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump path to victory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump vs Clinton]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23213</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A couple of weeks ago, it was impossible to find a pundit or poll maven who saw a Trump victory as a possibility. I made the audacious claim at the time that this was incorrect, and I&#8217;ve been taking heat from it since then. Much of this widespread misunderstanding is ironically caused by the good &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Electoral College Map One Week Out: Clinton Victory Likely But Not Assured</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23213</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Will 2016 see a landslide in the POTUS election?</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Oct 2016 01:52:34 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Clinton Landslide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clinton Rout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[No. Many many people, well intended, smart people, keep talking about the rout, the landslide, that will happen. They may be basing this on the new trend started by FiveThirtyEight and picked up by the New York Times and others of deriving a probability statement about the race. But when you see something like &#8220;87%&#8221; &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">Will 2016 see a landslide in the POTUS election?</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>13</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23199</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Current Trump-Clinton Electoral Prediction</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/16/the-current-trump-clinton-electoral-prediction/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/16/the-current-trump-clinton-electoral-prediction/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Oct 2016 16:16:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[270 electoral votes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23104</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[There are some interesting, and in some cases, potentially disturbing, things going on with the state by state numbers in the current election. Most of this has to do with third party candidates, and most of it with Gary Johnson. First, I&#8217;ll note, that despite fears among liberals and progressives that a lot of Bernie &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/16/the-current-trump-clinton-electoral-prediction/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Current Trump-Clinton Electoral Prediction</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>44</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23104</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Electoral Map: Clinton Vs. Trump</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2016 23:56:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Who will win?]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23076</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Above is my latest electoral college projection. This uses the technique previously described. However, instead of using RCP averages for all polled states and then using extreme (non-tossup) states to develop the regression model, this method uses only polling from states with one or more recent poll, and only with good polls. these poll numbers &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Electoral Map: Clinton Vs. Trump</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>14</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23076</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Who will win the presidential race?</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2016 02:43:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Who will win?]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23066</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve made my first stab at a prediction for the electoral college outcome for the US Presidential race, 2016. I use a roughly similar methodology as I did to accurately predict most of the Democratic primaries. However, since primaries are different from a general, the methodology had to be adapted. For the primaries, I eventually &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">Who will win the presidential race?</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23066</post-id>	</item>
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