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	<title>270 to win &#8211; Greg Laden&#039;s Blog</title>
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		<title>The Electoral College Map One Week Out: Clinton Victory Likely But Not Assured</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 31 Oct 2016 14:56:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chance of Clinton win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral map]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral vote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FiveThirtyEight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump path to victory]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump vs Clinton]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23213</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[A couple of weeks ago, it was impossible to find a pundit or poll maven who saw a Trump victory as a possibility. I made the audacious claim at the time that this was incorrect, and I&#8217;ve been taking heat from it since then. Much of this widespread misunderstanding is ironically caused by the good &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Electoral College Map One Week Out: Clinton Victory Likely But Not Assured</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>9</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23213</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>The Electoral Map: Clinton Vs. Trump</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2016 23:56:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clinton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Who will win?]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23076</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Above is my latest electoral college projection. This uses the technique previously described. However, instead of using RCP averages for all polled states and then using extreme (non-tossup) states to develop the regression model, this method uses only polling from states with one or more recent poll, and only with good polls. these poll numbers &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">The Electoral Map: Clinton Vs. Trump</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/11/the-electoral-map-clinton-vs-trump/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>14</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23076</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Who will win the presidential race?</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Oct 2016 02:43:17 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[270 to win]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2016]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Electoral College]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Who will win?]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23066</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;ve made my first stab at a prediction for the electoral college outcome for the US Presidential race, 2016. I use a roughly similar methodology as I did to accurately predict most of the Democratic primaries. However, since primaries are different from a general, the methodology had to be adapted. For the primaries, I eventually &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">Who will win the presidential race?</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/10/who-will-win-the-presidential-race/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
			<slash:comments>16</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">23066</post-id>	</item>
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