{"id":33953,"date":"2021-08-27T14:43:02","date_gmt":"2021-08-27T19:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/?p=33953"},"modified":"2021-08-27T18:07:50","modified_gmt":"2021-08-27T23:07:50","slug":"hurricane-ida-is-the-real-thing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2021\/08\/27\/hurricane-ida-is-the-real-thing\/","title":{"rendered":"Hurricane Ida is the real thing"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ida is currently menacing western Cuba.  It will then pass the long way across the Gulf of Mexico, gaining strength every day.  Ida will probably be a Category 3 hurricane by the time it has crossed the gulf.  There is a chance Ida could rise in strength to Category 4.  It is too early to say for sure, but every single model but one that I&#8217;ve seen puts landfall somewhere in Louisiana. The one outlyer model has landfall in Mississippi near the Louisiana border.<\/p>\n<p>Gulf-denizens, start getting ready now.  Ida is moving fast.  The landfall of the eye, which is <a href=\"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2012\/08\/26\/hurricane-landfall-what-is-it-and-dont-be-stupid-about-it\/\">NOT when it hits the coast<\/a>, will be late Sunday or very early Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Update: Latest info from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/text\/refresh\/MIATCDAT4+shtml\/271449.shtml?\">NWS<\/a> indicates that the storm will strengthn to Category 4 prior to landfall.  That would be at about 6AM on the 30th.<\/p>\n<p>Key Messages at 500 PM EDT Fri Aug 27 2021:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Life-threatening storm surge and hurricane conditions are<br \/>\nexpected to continue through tonight in portions of western Cuba,<br \/>\nincluding the Isle of Youth, where a Hurricane Warning is in effect.<br \/>\nLife-threatening heavy rains, flash flooding and mudslides are<br \/>\nexpected across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba,<br \/>\nincluding the Isle of Youth.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation<br \/>\nSunday along the coasts of Louisiana and Mississippi within the<br \/>\nStorm Surge Warning area. Extremely life-threatening inundation of<br \/>\n10 to 15 feet above ground level is possible within the area from<br \/>\nMorgan City, Louisiana, to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.<br \/>\nInterests throughout the warning area should follow any advice given<br \/>\nby local officials.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane when<br \/>\nit reaches the coast of Louisiana. Hurricane-force winds are<br \/>\nexpected Sunday in portions of the Hurricane Warning area along the<br \/>\nLouisiana coast, including metropolitan New Orleans, with<br \/>\npotentially catastrophic wind damage possible where the core of Ida<br \/>\nmoves onshore. Actions to protect life and property should be rushed<br \/>\nto completion in the warning area.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p>Ida is likely to produce heavy rainfall later Sunday into Monday<br \/>\nacross the central Gulf Coast from southeast Louisiana to coastal<br \/>\nMississippi and Alabama, resulting in considerable flash, urban,<br \/>\nsmall stream, and riverine flooding impacts. As Ida moves inland,<br \/>\nflooding impacts are possible across portions of the Lower<br \/>\nMississippi and Tennessee Valleys.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS<\/p>\n<p>INIT  27\/2100Z 22.1N  83.2W   70 KT  80 MPH<br \/>\n 12H  28\/0600Z 23.5N  84.8W   85 KT 100 MPH<br \/>\n 24H  28\/1800Z 25.3N  86.9W  105 KT 120 MPH<br \/>\n 36H  29\/0600Z 27.1N  89.0W  115 KT 130 MPH<br \/>\n 48H  29\/1800Z 28.6N  90.6W  120 KT 140 MPH<br \/>\n 60H  30\/0600Z 30.0N  91.3W   80 KT  90 MPH&#8230;INLAND<br \/>\n 72H  30\/1800Z 31.5N  91.1W   40 KT  45 MPH&#8230;INLAND<br \/>\n 96H  31\/1800Z 34.4N  89.3W   30 KT  35 MPH&#8230;INLAND<br \/>\n120H  01\/1800Z 36.0N  86.0W   20 KT  25 MPH&#8230;POST-TROP\/REMNT LOW<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ida is currently menacing western Cuba. It will then pass the long way across the Gulf of Mexico, gaining strength every day. Ida will probably be a Category 3 hurricane by the time it has crossed the gulf. There is a chance Ida could rise in strength to Category 4. It is too early to &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2021\/08\/27\/hurricane-ida-is-the-real-thing\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hurricane Ida is the real thing<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33954,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5045],"tags":[6249],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/IdaProjectedPath.png?fit=1055%2C754&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5fhV1-8PD","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33953"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33953"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33953\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33958,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33953\/revisions\/33958"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}