{"id":32632,"date":"2020-01-28T08:31:33","date_gmt":"2020-01-28T14:31:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/?p=32632"},"modified":"2020-01-28T08:31:33","modified_gmt":"2020-01-28T14:31:33","slug":"biden-sanders-warren","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2020\/01\/28\/biden-sanders-warren\/","title":{"rendered":"Biden\/Sanders\/Warren"},"content":{"rendered":"

Following on what I talked about here<\/a>, we are starting to see a pattern in the Democratic primary. Patterns change, so watch for the change. But right now, according to recent polling by Morning Consult<\/a>, this is turning into a Biden-Sanders two person race, with Elizabeth Warren the consistent third placer, but at a level that might exclude her from picking up delegates in several states because of the 15% rule (see this<\/a> for more info on that).<\/p>\n

That poll shows Biden in a moderately comfortable first place, but with Sanders a little behind, then Warren in a close third for Super Tuesday voters and nationally. Styer surges strongly ahead of Warren in early primary states. If that turns out to be a thing (and since he paid for it, I suppose Steyer will get it?) then that might down-shift Warren on Super Tuesday because of mo-jection* logic. Buttigieg and Bloomberg variously perform just below those noted so far.<\/p>\n

Check out the source cited above, but here are the graphics for your handy review:<\/p>\n

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