{"id":32038,"date":"2019-06-21T17:48:46","date_gmt":"2019-06-21T22:48:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/?p=32038"},"modified":"2019-06-21T17:48:46","modified_gmt":"2019-06-21T22:48:46","slug":"pre-debate-dem-prognosis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/21\/pre-debate-dem-prognosis\/","title":{"rendered":"Pre Debate Dem Prognosis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Right now there are only three candidates in the race. Biden is in first place, and Warren and Sanders share second place.  Biden&#8217;s numbers have been steadily dropping, but I suspect he will experience a more dramatic drop over the next polling cycle or two. Sanders&#8217; have been slowly dropping, and Warren&#8217;s numbers are going up at a somewhat faster rate than Sanders have been going down. In the chart below you can see them close to convergence in about 20 days now, given current trends.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the debate will shake all this up and possibly add or remove individuals from this top three spot.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" data-attachment-id=\"32039\" data-permalink=\"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/21\/pre-debate-dem-prognosis\/topcandidates\/\" data-orig-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?fit=813%2C615&amp;ssl=1\" data-orig-size=\"813,615\" data-comments-opened=\"1\" data-image-meta=\"{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;orientation&quot;:&quot;0&quot;}\" data-image-title=\"TopCandidates\" data-image-description=\"\" data-image-caption=\"\" data-medium-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?fit=300%2C227&amp;ssl=1\" data-large-file=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?fit=604%2C457&amp;ssl=1\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates-650x492.png?resize=604%2C457\" alt=\"\" width=\"604\" height=\"457\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-32039\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?resize=650%2C492&amp;ssl=1 650w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?resize=500%2C378&amp;ssl=1 500w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?resize=300%2C227&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?resize=768%2C581&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/TopCandidates.png?w=813&amp;ssl=1 813w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 604px) 100vw, 604px\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Right now there are only three candidates in the race. Biden is in first place, and Warren and Sanders share second place. Biden&#8217;s numbers have been steadily dropping, but I suspect he will experience a more dramatic drop over the next polling cycle or two. Sanders&#8217; have been slowly dropping, and Warren&#8217;s numbers are going &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2019\/06\/21\/pre-debate-dem-prognosis\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Pre Debate Dem Prognosis<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5972],"tags":[5974,1760,5975],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/HorseRace.png?fit=382%2C353&ssl=1","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5fhV1-8kK","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32038"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32038"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32038\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32041,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32038\/revisions\/32041"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32040"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32038"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32038"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32038"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}