{"id":23681,"date":"2017-02-07T15:25:19","date_gmt":"2017-02-07T21:25:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/?p=23681"},"modified":"2017-02-07T15:25:19","modified_gmt":"2017-02-07T21:25:19","slug":"el-nino-season-two","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2017\/02\/07\/el-nino-season-two\/","title":{"rendered":"El Nino Season Two?"},"content":{"rendered":"

It is like that stabby lady in the bath tub in that movie.<\/p>\n

Here, I’ll give you a more readable version of the graphic from NOAA<\/a>:<\/p>\n

\"Screen<\/a><\/p>\n

The chance of an the Pacific ENSO system being neutral, meaning, not adding extra heat to the atmosphere and not removing extra heat form the atmosphere, is about 50% from now through mid 2017.<\/p>\n

But, the chance of a la Nina is pretty darn low, and the chance of an El Nino, which would add more heat to the atmosphere than the average year, is not only approaching 40% but it has been growing.<\/p>\n

A second El Nino this close on the last one, which was a very severe El Nino, will not be as strong because there is that much heat stored up in the Pacific. A lot of it came out last time. But there is a fair amount left in there, so we could have a real, if not major, El Nino event this summer or fall.<\/p>\n

Or not. This is really up in the air, as it were. But it is a little unusual to see a second El Nino this close in time, so I thought you might find this interesting.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It is like that stabby lady in the bath tub in that movie. Here, I’ll give you a more readable version of the graphic from NOAA: The chance of an the Pacific ENSO system being neutral, meaning, not adding extra heat to the atmosphere and not removing extra heat form the atmosphere, is about 50% … Continue reading El Nino Season Two?<\/span> →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23682,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[161,148,728,1602,729,1603,5020],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5fhV1-69X","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23681"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23681"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23681\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}