{"id":23263,"date":"2016-11-08T08:55:01","date_gmt":"2016-11-08T14:55:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/?p=23263"},"modified":"2016-11-08T08:55:01","modified_gmt":"2016-11-08T14:55:01","slug":"tuesday-election-results-open-thread","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2016\/11\/08\/tuesday-election-results-open-thread\/","title":{"rendered":"Tuesday Election Results: Open Thread UPDATED"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/national-security\/a-guide-to-voter-intimidation-and-how-to-report-it\/2016\/11\/07\/bf44ee2a-a51e-11e6-8042-f4d111c862d1_story.html\">HOW TO REPORT VOTER INTIMIDATION<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Dump your comments and observations here.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll be looking at several SOS web sites, and eventually I&#8217;ll find the best on line tracker of results for the whole country. During the primaries, the Washington Post was the best.  Let me know if you have any ideas.<\/p>\n<p>So far heavy turnout has been noted in Minnesota, where turnout is always high, and something close to 30% of the usual number of voters had already voted early.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/files\/2016\/11\/IMG_7846.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/files\/2016\/11\/IMG_7846-300x300.jpg?resize=300%2C300\" alt=\"img_7846\" width=\"300\" height=\"300\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-23264\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a>The biggest fear, a among those of us who have felt the pain of defeat at least as often as the thrill of victory, is this: Heavy turnout usually means more Democrats vote, but it can also mean more of the so called &#8220;silent majority&#8221; votes. The &#8220;silent majority&#8221; is actually a plurality, consisting of old angry uneducated white men (see illustration).  We always worry that we&#8217;ll get Nixoned by those bastards. Ever since they figured out that they can do that. When a pollster calls them, they lie, or hang up, then they go and vote for the fascist.<\/p>\n<p>The first polls will close at 6:PM Eastern in some parts of Kentucky and Indiana.  An hour later selected polls will close in several key states, including New Hampshire and Florida.  Shortly thereafter, some will close in NOrth Carolina and Ohio.  So, before 8:00 PM Eastern, we&#8217;ll be seeing some interesting results coming in.  Remember to watch New Hampshire, Florida, and North Carolina closely.<\/p>\n<p>At 8:PM Eastern, polls will be closed in about 172 electoral votes worth of states, including Maine, the Southern New England states, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland.<\/p>\n<p><H2><\/H2><br \/>\n<H2>FLORIDA<\/H2><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/enight.elections.myflorida.com\/\">Secretary of State Site<\/a><\/p>\n<p><H2>GEORGIA<\/H2><\/p>\n<p>I had placed Georgia as the first Red state likely to fall Blue if any such a thing was to happen, and indeed, Georgia is too close to call after polls closed. The reason? More hispanic voters than previously, pushing Georgia towards the Democrats.<\/p>\n<p><H2>MINNESOTA<\/H2><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sos.state.mn.us\/elections-voting\/election-results\/\">Secretary of State Site<\/a><\/p>\n<p><H2>North Carolina<\/H2><\/p>\n<p>Hard to say where this is going yet, but early information indicates that a larger than expected share of white voters are going for Clinton.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MN CD 2 US House District, Angie Craig vs. Jason &#8220;single women are non thinking&#8221; Lewis<\/strong><br \/>\nThis is a key race. Lewis is a radio shock jock yahoo right winger Limbaugh wannabe. Craig would be one of the few open lesbians in a same sex marriage in the US House, and she&#8217;s cool.  Piles of outside money.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MN CD 3 House District, Bonoff vs Paulsen.  <\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is my district. Paulsen is a Bachmann Republican who suported Trump early on.  Bonoff is my State Senator (though I just moved into her district) and a Blue Dog who has run for this seat before and never gotten close. The theory is, you put in a Blue Dog or Centrist to run against the Republican, but that has never worked. I have no expectation that it will work this year.  I hope Teri Bonoff wins, but she won&#8217;t, and maybe we will eventually learn that the only way to win in this district is to be real liberals.<\/p>\n<p><figure id=\"attachment_23267\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-23267\" style=\"width: 300px\" class=\"wp-caption alignright\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/files\/2016\/11\/ctyp_6536983millspartying1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/scienceblogs.com\/gregladen\/files\/2016\/11\/ctyp_6536983millspartying1-300x372.jpg?resize=300%2C372\" alt=\"Stewart Mills, Left. \" width=\"300\" height=\"372\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-23267\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-23267\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Stewart Mills, Left.<\/figcaption><\/figure><strong>MN CD 8 US House District, Nolan vs. Mills<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mills is a rich frat boy who should be running as a Libertarian but he&#8217;s too stupid. (Real libertarians tend be smart, even if they are totally wrong about everything.)  This is a close eace, and I hear it is the most expensive, or one of the most expensive, races in the country. The Republicans are apparently frightened of Nolan.<\/p>\n<p><H2>PENNSYLVANIA <\/H2><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.electionreturns.state.pa.us\/\">Secretary of State Site<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>HOW TO REPORT VOTER INTIMIDATION Dump your comments and observations here. I&#8217;ll be looking at several SOS web sites, and eventually I&#8217;ll find the best on line tracker of results for the whole country. During the primaries, the Washington Post was the best. Let me know if you have any ideas. So far heavy turnout &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/2016\/11\/08\/tuesday-election-results-open-thread\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Tuesday Election Results: Open Thread UPDATED<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23265,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[1759,774,772,2318,964],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5fhV1-63d","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23263"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23263"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23263\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23263"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23263"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gregladen.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23263"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}