I’m trying to figure out how many Senate seats, and which ones, will switch from Republican to Democratic in November 2016.<\/p>\n
At present, 54 Senator caucus with the Republicans, and 46 caucus with the Democrats (two of those are Independant).<\/p>\n
We should be shooting for a good majority of 61, just to be safe. That means fifteen Republicans have to go, to result in a 39 to 61 mix. To get a simple majority, only five Republicans have to be replaced, to produce a 49 to 51 mix. So, we should be working for replacing fifteen but hoping to replace at least five.<\/p>\n
A perusal of The Internet provides a list of Republicans and open seats that seem to have a chance of a Democratic takeover. (Importantly and worth noting, not many Democrats are at risk, but Michael Bennet of Colorado may be. Also worth noting is that Harry Reid’s seat in Nevada seems more likely to go GOP, according to some sources).<\/p>\n
Here’s the list:<\/p>\n
Arizona: John McCain. Challenged by Ann Kirkpatrick
\nArkansas: John Boozman. Challenged by Conner Eldridge
\nCalifornia: Open Seat. Kamala Harris
\nFlorida: Open Seat. Alan Grayson
\nIllinois: Mark Kirk. Challenged by Tammy Duckworth
\nIowa: Charles Grassley. Challenged by Patty Judge
\nKentucky: Rand Paul. Challenged by Adam Edleen
\nMaryland: Open seat? Donna Edwards
\nMissouri: Roy Blunt. Challenged by Jaoon Kander
\nNevada: Open Seat. Catherine Cortez Masto
\nNew Hampshire: Kelly Ayotte. Challenged by Maggie Hassan
\nNorth Carolina: Richard Burr. Challenged by Deborah Ross
\nOhio: Rob Portman. Challenged by Ted Strickland
\nPennsylvania: Patrick Toomey. No challenger yet
\nWisconsin: Ron Johnson. Challenged by Russ Feingold<\/p>\n
So, what’s missing? What’s wrong with this list? How would you rank it?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
I’m trying to figure out how many Senate seats, and which ones, will switch from Republican to Democratic in November 2016. At present, 54 Senator caucus with the Republicans, and 46 caucus with the Democrats (two of those are Independant). We should be shooting for a good majority of 61, just to be safe. That … Continue reading Which Senate Seats Will Switch to Democratic In 2016?<\/span>