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	<title>Size comparison &#8211; Greg Laden&#039;s Blog</title>
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		<title>A word of caution about Hurricane Patricia</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/10/23/a-word-of-caution-about-hurricane-patricia/</link>
					<comments>https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/10/23/a-word-of-caution-about-hurricane-patricia/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Oct 2015 00:59:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Haiyan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hurricane]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hurricane Patricia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Katrina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Severe weather]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Size comparison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yolanda]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=21710</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[CNN is calling Hurricane Patricia &#8220;The Most Dangerous Hurricane in History.&#8221; Another news outlet showed a picture of the hurricane and pointed out &#8220;The Enormous Size of Hurricane Patricia.&#8221; Both of these are wrong. Size matters with hurricanes. A category 5 hurricane that is twice as large as another category 5 hurricane is &#8220;more dangerous&#8221; &#8230; <a href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/10/23/a-word-of-caution-about-hurricane-patricia/" class="more-link">Continue reading <span class="screen-reader-text">A word of caution about Hurricane Patricia</span> <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>CNN is calling Hurricane Patricia &#8220;The Most Dangerous Hurricane in History.&#8221; Another news outlet showed a picture of the hurricane and pointed out &#8220;The Enormous Size of Hurricane Patricia.&#8221;</p>
<p>Both of these are wrong. Size matters with hurricanes. A category 5 hurricane that is twice as large as another category 5 hurricane is &#8220;more dangerous&#8221; all else being equal, and by &#8220;all else&#8221; I mean things like exactly where it hits, how fast it is moving, exactly how strong it is (category 5 includes a very wide range of wind speeds because it is the highest category).  Hurricane Patricia is not huge.</p>
<p>Patricia is very dangerous, has a very low pressure center and very strong winds, both being at or near record breaking levels. But the hurricane is small.  Here&#8217;s a VERY rough size comparison between two of the well known and very large hurricanes that I just slapped together:</p>
<p><a href="https://i0.wp.com/scienceblogs.com/gregladen/files/2015/10/Screen-Shot-2015-10-23-at-7.55.13-PM.png"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="https://i0.wp.com/scienceblogs.com/gregladen/files/2015/10/Screen-Shot-2015-10-23-at-7.55.13-PM.png?resize=468%2C297" alt="Screen Shot 2015-10-23 at 7.55.13 PM" width="468" height="297" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-21712" data-recalc-dims="1" /></a></p>
<p>The larger hurricanes will cover more area with their dangerous winds, may have a more extensive storm tide, and will very likely bring a lot more rain inland.  Patricia will do very bad things where it makes landfall, which is actually happening as I write this, but that area will be smaller than a Katrina like hurricane. And it will bring a fair amount of water inland, but not nearly as much as a monster like Haiyan would have.</p>
<p>So yes, take Patricia seriously. But I expect to see a lot of yammering after the fact, from certain factions, about how everyone was being very alarmist about Patricia when in the end it was not a Katrina.</p>
<p>So let it be understood. Patricia is no Katrina.  But it is impressive in its own way.</p>
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