The latest calculations put the satellite-earth collision at some time between March 27th and April 8th.

The orbit is confined to between 43 degrees north and south. So, Canada dodges a bullet, as does much of Northern Europe. Here is the currently estimated target area, just so you can be prepared:

The contents of the space station is a Chinese state secret, so outside experts can not estimate the chance of any parts surviving re-entry.

It is hard to estimate re-entry time very far in advance because the exact trajectory of the space ship changes as it interacts with the upper reaches of the atmosphere, and that, in turn, changes constantly. Estimating the time of entry weeks in advance is like integrating a weather forecast the exact location of the cars on a road race not started yet, weeks in advance.