Comments on: Minnesota Democrats: HOLD!

By: dean

dean — Wed, 14 Oct 2020 12:40:07 +0000

And we have a Michigan story about one of the “very good people” trump and his fans here support.

https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2020/10/13/4-witnesses-describe-white-michigan-man-yelling-racial-slurs-attacking-black-teen-with-chain-bike-lock/

By: dean

dean — Wed, 14 Oct 2020 01:24:15 +0000

Today our incredibly stable president tweeted an old conspiracy that Obama and Biden had Seal Team 6 killed under pressure from HRC. This is the level of derangement trump’s supporters and those who say “both sides are equally bad” support.

The president retweeted an insane article alleging “Biden and Obama may have had Seal Team 6 killed” posted by a QAnon account and written by “an ex-Community Organizer and Homeschool Mom.”

By: dean

dean — Tue, 13 Oct 2020 11:32:42 +0000

In reply to MikeN. How strange it is that you, someone who has zero understanding of statistics or honesty, find a conspiracy in this.

By: MikeN

MikeN — Tue, 13 Oct 2020 01:41:26 +0000

How strange the reporting of the polls was so bad.
In 2004, with similar polls, the media was reporting it was John Kerry’s race to lose.
It’s like they only want to report Democrats’ winning.

By: dean

dean — Mon, 12 Oct 2020 21:24:21 +0000

In reply to Christopher Winter.

He is interesting, and odd. He predicted trump would win the popular vote in 2016, then after the fact said he’d predicted the general election result. His primary thesis then was that many people who said they were going to vote wouldn’t, and he stuck to that (that notion was put out after the 2016 election and was found to be not the case: the same for the notion that many people lied about the candidate they would vote for when they responded to earlier polls. The detailed analysis of the polls in the states that won it for trump showed something in between: many people didn’t decide until the final weeks which candidate they’d vote for. Even so the margins at the end were in the last polls’ margins of error. Polling wasn’t wrong — reporting of the polling was.) In any case, it’s still way too soon to be making predictions about winning based on any single poll or model.

By: Christopher Winter

Christopher Winter — Mon, 12 Oct 2020 20:25:31 +0000

There’s this fellow Helmut Norpoth, poli-sci professor at Stony Brook, whose model predicts Trump has a 91% chance of winning.

https://news.stonybrook.edu/facultystaff/maverick-modeller-helmut-norpoth-predicts-another-win-for-trump/

I think the man, despite what he says, is too wedded to his model. He says he includes the South Carolina primary, but is vague about it this year. South Carolina, as we know, was one of 8 states where the Republicans canceled their primary to head off any competition to Trump.

He also glosses over the unique loathing that Trump has engendered, much of which is due to actions after the primary season,

By: Ole Phat Stu

Ole Phat Stu — Fri, 09 Oct 2020 16:54:49 +0000

The forthcoming US civil war will use Nukes.

Worry!

By: dean

dean — Thu, 08 Oct 2020 17:51:07 +0000

Some more of trump’s very good people are in the news.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/08/politics/fbi-plot-michigan-governor-gretchen-whitmer/index.html

By: dean

dean — Thu, 08 Oct 2020 15:25:24 +0000

In reply to MikeN. I didn't expect you to have any logical support for your comment. I am not disappointed.

By: MikeN

MikeN — Thu, 08 Oct 2020 14:22:17 +0000

If they are going to tear down Confederate monuments, then it makes sense to include the Democratic Party as well. Calling yourself a proud Democrat at Gettysburg is not a good look.