Comments on: What will happen on Super Tuesday 2020? (Updated to exclude Buttigieg and Klobuchar) https://gregladen.com/blog/2020/03/01/what-will-happen-on-super_tuesday-2020/ Thu, 05 Mar 2020 16:59:04 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: Tyvor Winn https://gregladen.com/blog/2020/03/01/what-will-happen-on-super_tuesday-2020/#comment-850685 Thu, 05 Mar 2020 16:59:04 +0000 https://gregladen.com/blog/?p=32710#comment-850685 In reply to Tyvor Winn.

It’s now Thursday and it is clear that the 10 states for Sanders and only 4 states for Biden prediction was not fulfilled. In fact the numbers were essentially just the opposite.* (The Bloomburg and Warren results were also way off.) It just goes to show that predicting human behavior and the direction of humans’ choices is fraught with pitfalls. I’m sure the results were a surprise and shock to most if not all of the political pundits, to the Sanders camp, and probably the Trump-Putin camp as well.

* The California vote count is not expected to be finished for weeks. Like our justice system it grinds slowly.

]]> By: Gregory Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2020/03/01/what-will-happen-on-super_tuesday-2020/#comment-850336 Mon, 02 Mar 2020 23:05:11 +0000 https://gregladen.com/blog/?p=32710#comment-850336 In reply to Tyvor Winn.

I’ve updated the data.

]]> By: Tyvor Winn https://gregladen.com/blog/2020/03/01/what-will-happen-on-super_tuesday-2020/#comment-850318 Mon, 02 Mar 2020 19:40:53 +0000 https://gregladen.com/blog/?p=32710#comment-850318 Since Buttigieg has now dropped out and his share of the vote might make a big difference if shifted to one of the other candidates, how seriously should we take this prediction? (I have no idea other than it seems in general that his ideas are closer to Biden than to Sanders.)

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