Comments on: The Electoral College Map Five Days Out: Most Likely Trump Scenario is a Tie https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/ Wed, 06 Dec 2017 04:02:49 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: The Electoral College Vote Three Days Before The Election – Greg Laden's Blog https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465947 Sat, 05 Nov 2016 22:00:07 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465947 […] here, I’m giving you two separate sets of results, initially. First, as in my previous post, a distillation of what the polls themselves are actually saying, using this […]

]]> By: Brainstorms https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465946 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 19:38:21 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465946 “Remind”… Well, that requires a mind a priori, doesn’t it? There’s no reminding those who don’t think in the first place…

]]> By: Eric Lund https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465945 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 19:20:19 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465945 As of this point in the 2008 election cycle, a white male candidate had been elected in 55 of the previous 55 elections. Do I need to remind people like SN what the result was that year? (Rhetorical question.)

]]> By: Brainstorms https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465944 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 18:11:41 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465944 You gamble in the stock market using the same (faulty) logic, do you SN?

]]> By: See Noevo https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465943 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 17:29:56 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465943 Only once or twice in the last 16 presidential elections has a 53% or more portion of Catholics voted for the losing candidate (1968 and possibly 1952).

The latest IBD/TIPP poll shows Catholic support of Trump at 54%, with Clinton at only 38%.
http://hotair.com/archives/201…

This is a good sign for Catholic Trump supporters like me.

]]> By: Brainstorms https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465942 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 17:08:39 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465942 Apparently Trump only waits until about age 13 or so…

]]> By: jane https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465941 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 16:31:30 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465941 Pretty nervy of a Trumpkin to use the handle of “Dora the Explorer”, since der Drumpfenfuhrer’s take on the real Dora is that as a brownish girl, she should be deported (sure, she was born here, but birthright citizenship should be repealed by his order) and certainly shouldn’t aspire to be a judge when she grows up, as Hispanics can’t be allowed to sit in judgment of white men. But he would be dating her in ten years.

]]> By: Eric Lund https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465940 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 15:26:40 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465940

And if Evan McMullin takes Utah?

That only matters if neither Hilary nor Trump win at least 270 EVs. In that case, it still goes to the House, but as one of the top three finishers, McMullin would be eligible to receive votes in the House. That is unlikely to matter much, because I would be surprised if any House delegation other than Utah went for him.

In practice, though, I think that if Trump is strong enough to keep Hillary below 270 EV he will be strong enough to take Utah. If Trump is underperforming in the rest of the country, then McMullin has a shot at those six EVs.

]]> By: Magma https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465939 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 04:58:52 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465939 Dear America,

Please knock it the f*** off already and seek help when you’ve sobered up.

Your friend,
The World

]]> By: James Pevey https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/11/03/the-electoral-college-map-five-days-out-most-likely-trump-scenario-is-a-tie/#comment-465938 Fri, 04 Nov 2016 04:24:59 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23223#comment-465938 And if Evan McMullin takes Utah?

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