Comments on: Will 2016 see a landslide in the POTUS election? https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/ Mon, 07 Nov 2016 19:21:59 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: john victor https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465795 Mon, 07 Nov 2016 19:21:59 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465795 doesn’t anyone wonder what trump is hiding in his tax returns. why isn’t his fraudulent use of his charities money out there. how about the fact that he has not added any money to his charity? have all the mid income people forgotten how his bankruptcy 6times made a profit for him but left all the workers, suppliers etc with nothing!! I do not understand the crooked Hillary comments are taken as fact. doesn’t any fact check?? 6 different government agencies investigated Benghazi. Hillary was cleared and no issues regarding her actions found. nothing in her actions etc were in question. emails emails!!! yes she should not have used a private. emails received that were top secret did not have the special stating this (these are the confidential leaks hyped up. she was questioned for11hours) did any one bother to watch this. it speaks volumes. it found nothing.!! if you want to see her behavior under fire watch it! this was nothing a republican driven witch hunt. really watch it. FBI has found no criminal actions. no further investigation is going to be done!!! no matter how hard she works for the best for all Americans more than 30years she is labeled the devil, unsuccessful etc. wake up and vote using the facts. trump has no experience governing, foreign affairs, and his ability to handle our money is limited by his failures. he says many promises he will make this or that change however he forgets the house and senate must approve any changes first. he will use the same tax loopholes he has used before and will protect the rich. he is the real crook!!crooked trump

]]> By: Brainstorms https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465794 Tue, 01 Nov 2016 16:29:01 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465794 Trump has a long (business) history of wasting money on loser investments and poor judgments.

The leopard cannot change his spots.

]]> By: jan https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465793 Tue, 01 Nov 2016 16:03:20 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465793 A little bird tells me that deceitful anti-Clinton commercials are now running in Missouri. On the one hand, it does seem like the gap is narrowing, not spreading, meaning Clinton will be lucky to win the usual blue-leaning tossup states. On the other hand, if der Drumpfenfuhrer was really sure there was a zero percent chance he would lose Missouri, why would he or his minions waste money advertising there.

]]> By: Eric Lund https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465792 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 17:22:03 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465792 Stevo@9: Last night one of the trick-or-treaters who visited my house (my town does trick-or-treat night on the 30th rather than the 31st) was dressed as Donald Trump: ill-fitting suit, red tie, and a “Make America Great Again” baseball cap. That was a scary costume, all right, and much too close to reality.

And I wonder, as Opus did in this 1984 Bloom County strip: “Who put Election Day so close to Halloween?”

]]> By: StevoR https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465791 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 15:09:48 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465791 @ ^ Thanks. Just seen that. Afraid at the moment its more a case of fingernails than popcorn.

These Trumpkins :

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-31/trumpkin-trend-lights-up-halloween/7981484

May be cute but the thought of the actual klown in the White House is seriously scary. Also emphasis on the serious part, sadly.

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465790 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 15:05:30 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465790 Here’s how the rigged election is going to turn out:
http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/10/31/the-electoral-college-map-one-week-out-clinton-victory-likely-but-not-assured/

SteveR: 1) No; 2) See post, depends; 3) popcorn.

]]> By: StevoR https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465789 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 15:01:48 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465789 Slightly different question(s) I’d love to see answered – will Clinton’s win – assuming she does win which is NOT yet a certainty – be enough to :

1) Satisfy the Trump faction that they genuinely lost and it wasn’t “rigged” (I’m guessing this is almost certainly a no?)

2) Convince Democrats , Independents and others that she won convincingly enough to get a mandate to actually get stuff done?

3) Can the Democratic party win the Senate and House and enough things to be effective and to show a convincing enough political-social-cultural rejection of the metaphorical toxic sludge that is the renewed quasi(?)fascism that Trump represents?

]]> By: Eric Lund https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465788 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 14:38:28 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465788

plus 3 votes for the District of Columbia (a number equal to the votes of the smallest state)

DC has not always been allowed to vote in Presidential elections–that change came sometime in the latter half of the 20th century (I don’t recall exactly when that happened). If you look at that 1912 map, you will see that there is no box representing DC.

The maps are presumably from the 270 To Win website (thus their logo in the images), but 270 EVs have been needed only since 1964 (the map shows that DC had electors by then). The House of Representatives was fixed at 435 members in the early 20th century, but Alaska and Hawaii were not yet states, so there would have been only 96 senators, for a total of 531 electoral votes before DC was granted their EVs. The 1960 election would have had at least two extra EVs because Alaska and Hawaii were admitted in 1959, but since there had not yet been a census to reapportion the House their Congressmen would have been given temporary additional seats.

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465787 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 13:56:41 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465787 Hmmm….

]]> By: Brainstorms https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/10/29/will-2016-see-a-landslide-in-the-potus-election/#comment-465786 Mon, 31 Oct 2016 00:38:26 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=23199#comment-465786 No. The threshold is >50% of the Electoral College votes, which total the sum of the Senators and the members of the House, plus 3 votes for the District of Columbia (a number equal to the votes of the smallest state). Hence, there were fewer than 538 votes in 1912, and less than 270 were needed at that time.

Interestingly, Section 2 of the Fourteenth Amendment allows for a state’s representation in the House of Representatives to be reduced if that state unconstitutionally denies people the right to vote. The reduction is in keeping with the proportion of people denied a vote. This amendment refers to voting “at any election for the choice of electors for President and Vice President of the United States.”

Which suggests that several “red states” could/should have their electoral votes reduced, as they are guilty of “state sponsored voter suppression”.

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