Comments on: Super Typhoon Nepartak

By: cosmicomics

cosmicomics — Fri, 15 Jul 2016 11:17:24 +0000

>b>In Warming Oceans, Stronger Currents Releasing Heat in Bigger Storms, Study Says
The currents are releasing 20 percent more heat than 50 years ago. Japan, China and Korea will warm faster and can expect more storminess, researchers say.
https://insideclimatenews.org/news/12072016/ocean-currents-intensifying-bringing-stronger-storms-research-shows

By: MikeN

MikeN — Sun, 10 Jul 2016 07:26:12 +0000

I live here in Taitung on the south-east coast. In 28 years in Taiwan, this is the first time I actually felt scared in a typhoon. Lots of damage but luckily only 3 casualties- an elderly woman killed by toppling furniture, and two idiots who decided it was a good time to go to the beach. Lots of damage, but the worst part is the trees. We have a lot anyway, and the local government has had a big push to turn us into a green (looking) city. Now huge numbers are toppled or totally stripped.

By: Gerrit Bogaers

Gerrit Bogaers — Fri, 08 Jul 2016 06:31:24 +0000

The history of climate change demonstrates abundantly: with each new disaster, natural forces gradually yielding their secrets and their laws are brought to light. This type of weather system fits exactly in an increasing pattern of super serious climate events, due to global warming, leading to a new ice age etc.. Netherlands, Laren NH, Friday 8 July 2016,8.30 AM.

By: dean

dean — Fri, 08 Jul 2016 02:09:46 +0000

Looks like it hit as a category 4 storm.

https://weather.com/storms/typhoon/news/super-typhoon-nepartak-taiwan-china-forecast

By: Susan Anderson

Susan Anderson — Thu, 07 Jul 2016 17:53:13 +0000

sorry, just south of predicted track, not turning south. My amateur understanding is the edge of Taiwan is steep and impacting the track.

By: Susan Anderson

Susan Anderson — Thu, 07 Jul 2016 17:51:05 +0000

Latest shows it steering southward. For a neat take, here (requires lotsa bandwidth):
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-244.85,23.71,3000/loc=122.239,22.086

Click on “Earth” to change variables: I put it at 850 hpa (“height) but ti’s equally dramatic at surface level. There’s Blas in the eastern Pacific and some kind of interesting blob south of Iceland if you zoom out.

Also Wunderground, where Jeff Masters has provided links to local updates near the bottom (above last photo) of his article:
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=3350

By: izen

izen — Thu, 07 Jul 2016 16:54:16 +0000

@- dean
A characteristic in general of storms of this intensity/energy is that they only get to be of that size due to unusually warm surface waters. So the answer to your question is –
e) the much greater probability of a tropical storm encountering ‘unusually’ warm surface water due to AGW.

By: dean

dean — Thu, 07 Jul 2016 16:30:20 +0000

So both of the references make prominent mention of the rapidity with which this storm increased in size and power. Is that
a) A characteristic in general of storms of this size
b) Specific to this one due to the unusually warm surface waters
c) Most ‘a’ magnified by ‘b’
d) Something else

By: Eric Lund

Eric Lund — Thu, 07 Jul 2016 16:12:21 +0000

And after it’s done with Taiwan, the lower Yangzi Valley region of China is next. This region, particularly Wuhan (which I think is a bit to the left of the current forecast track), is suffering severe flooding due to unusually heavy monsoon rains already. More rain is the last thing they need, but that’s what they are going to get.