https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/03/05/the-sanders-hypothesis-this-weekends-primaries/ Mon, 07 Mar 2016 21:33:27 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/03/05/the-sanders-hypothesis-this-weekends-primaries/#comment-468559 Mon, 07 Mar 2016 21:33:27 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22230#comment-468559 Sanders won Nebraska, Kansas, and Maine by much larger margins than the model predicts; in Kansas and Maine, he won more than twice as many delegates as Clinton. Hillary Clinton would like us to believe that because she won lopsided victories in a few southeastern states, the race should be considered decided and Bernie should just quit, no need to hear from people living in other regions. When Republicans display the identical attitude in a general election campaign, it is called the “Southern strategy,” and it is increasingly not a winner for them.

]]> https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/03/05/the-sanders-hypothesis-this-weekends-primaries/#comment-468558 Sun, 06 Mar 2016 19:07:54 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22230#comment-468558 […] the Democrats held three contests, in Louisiana, Nebraska and Kansas. I had predicted a Sanders win in Nebraska and Kansas, and a Clinton win in Louisiana, using my ever-… Those predictions came to fruition. Like […]

]]> https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/03/05/the-sanders-hypothesis-this-weekends-primaries/#comment-468557 Sun, 06 Mar 2016 05:53:58 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22230#comment-468557 Although only 83.8% of Nebraska has reported, the “model” is currently sporting a mean absolute percentage error of 26.8%.

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