Comments on: On the eve of the New Hampshire primary https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/ Tue, 09 Feb 2016 20:33:28 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: Eric Lund https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467955 Tue, 09 Feb 2016 20:33:28 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467955

But, NH primary voters also can see the ground game and pay a lot of attention to it, it is said.

Granted, I live in one of the bluest towns in the state, but Sunday morning was the first I saw any evidence of s ground game from a Republican (Jeb, of all people, had canvassers in my neighborhood). All of the Dems, including O’Malley, have been intermittently canvassing the neighborhood since November. There were even a couple of Clinton people in my neighborhood this morning as I was shoveling the driveway (about 0730),

My party affiliation had been undeclared before today, but when I voted this morning in the Democratic primary, I skipped the table where you can reclaim your unaffiliated status. The aggravation I’ve been getting from being on Republican mailing and phone lists is no longer worth it. I feel like I would need a hazmat suit to vote in the R primary, and I don’t own one.

]]> By: Who will win the New Hampshire Primary and what will that mean? – Greg Laden's Blog https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467954 Tue, 09 Feb 2016 15:19:49 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467954 […] SEE THIS UPDATE ADDED: Following the GOP primary, there has been another development. In most recent polls, Trump is clearly ahead in New Hampshire, with Marco Rubio a moderately strong second or third. In various polls he is second in most polls (by a few points) and tied in one. Kasich is generally right behind Rubio, with Cruz in third place in a few polls. […]

]]> By: cosmicomics https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467953 Tue, 09 Feb 2016 10:51:49 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467953 Foreign policy:
Sanders has repeatedly criticized Clinton for her vote on the Iraq war, while emphasizing his own superior judgement. This seems to be his foreign policy Rubiot. When asked about the greatest current threats, his North Korea answer was what one might call a Ben Carson moment. When asked to name his foreign policy advisers, he couldn’t name any:

“Asked recently to name his foreign policy advisers, he threw out a few names of people who later said they had barely discussed the issues with him. One of them was Benjamin J. Rhodes, Mr. Obama’s deputy national security adviser for communications, who said he had given Mr. Sanders some standard briefings, but no advice.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/09/us/politics/foreign-policy-questions-push-bernie-sanders-out-of-comfort-zone.html

He doesn’t even know enough to criticize Clinton for her reaction to the coup in Honduras or her relationship to Uribe in Columbia. He’s never mentioned the possible implications of her ties to the Clinton Foundation, and its ties to repressive regimes. Where she represents tainted competence, he stands for uninterested ignorance.

]]> By: New Hampshire Primary | Curation Club https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467952 Tue, 09 Feb 2016 05:08:39 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467952 […] 8 February 2016 | 7:14 pm We know that Donald Trump will win the New Hampshire primary. Polls show him up far above the other candidates, he has been on a modest upward trend since the beginning of the year, and the most recent polls show an … http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/ […]

]]> By: cosmicomics https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467951 Mon, 08 Feb 2016 23:40:12 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467951 The Republican debate wasn’t kind to Cruz and Rubio. It drew more attention to Cruz’s sanctimonious sleaziness, and Rubio succeeded in making a fool of himself. Rubio’s been extremely good at delivering the messages that Republicans want to hear, but he does come across scripted, and in Manchester he was stuck on repeat. The problem is bigger than just talking points. Rubio speaks written rather than spoken English. His English is correct, but not natural. Note, for example, that there are many occasions where Rubio says it is or it has or it does not, where almost all native speakers would use contractions.

Re. Trump:
http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/02/koch-brothers-take-on-trump

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467950 Mon, 08 Feb 2016 20:29:56 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467950 I agree that Trump is not playing the ground game right, and that is why he lost in Iowa (as I predicted) . It will be interesting to see if that plays out in NH

The ground game is more important in a caucus, because it is more exposed to activists. But, NH primary voters also can see the ground game and pay a lot of attention to it, it is said. If Trump is not eating pancakes and kissing babies, they may well blow him off. That adds a real interesting element to what might happen.

]]> By: Donal https://gregladen.com/blog/2016/02/08/on-the-eve-of-the-new-hampshire-primary/#comment-467949 Mon, 08 Feb 2016 19:35:20 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=22112#comment-467949 I think Trump may be blowing his lead. On the strength of his media identity, he’s been running his campaign on the cheap. I think he will need a ground game to seal the deal. Cruz is too crazy, Rubio is too robotic, and Jeb! is too pathetic, but someone like Kasich could step in to the space left vacant by Trump’s unfavorables.

I missed the debate, but the reviews I saw graded Hillary and Bernie about the same. I have Facebook friends that tend both ways. The Hillbots seem upset, while the BernFeelers seem enthused. From what I read, Bernie got a lot of donations after Iowa. If he’s investing it in ground operations he couldn’t afford before, he could hang around for a while.

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