Comments on: Who won last night’s Democratic Primary debate in New Hampshire?

By: cosmicomics

cosmicomics — Mon, 08 Feb 2016 13:48:04 +0000

No winner, but both are immeasurably superior to any possible Republican opponent. Whatever weaknesses Clinton and Sanders have, they acknowledge and attempt to address real problems. The losers were the moderators, who didn’t ask one question about climate change.

By: Douglas C Alder

Douglas C Alder — Sat, 06 Feb 2016 06:07:09 +0000

I’ll go with this new Quinnipiac poll that came out today. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2321 it puts Clinton at 44% to Sanders 42% in a nationwide poll. Clinton is losing ground quickly. A loss in NH (which is damn near a certainty) could cost her dearly.

By: Kevin O'Neill

Kevin O'Neill — Sat, 06 Feb 2016 00:27:24 +0000

Clinton led every New Hampshire Democratic poll until early August. As recently as one month ago Clinton was still leading Sanders in some New Hampshire Polls, but Sanders has now led every New Hampshire poll conducted in the past 4 weeks. Real Clear Politics has him with a 17.6 point lead with a high lead of +31 in the CNN poll and low lead of +9 in the Boston Globe poll.

By: Greg Laden

Greg Laden — Fri, 05 Feb 2016 18:05:04 +0000

Randy, that could be. So, in effect, that would be an inadvertently biased poll.

But 8.5:1.5 is still a very very large number. The statistics of the distribution of supporters, even though the filter you suggest, would have to be huge. Then, if that is the case, one has to refer to the fact that young voters are really bad at turnout.

By: Randy

Randy — Fri, 05 Feb 2016 17:28:48 +0000

With absolutely no “evidence” to either support or refute, I’m not sure that I would categorize the unusual online poll results as “gaming”.

Some research shows that people over 50 do not use social media specifically, and the internet in general, to the extent that younger people do. One supposed “study” indicated that only about 2% of people over the age of 65 use social media, for example.

My personal anecdote regarding my caucus precinct experience was that our location had a very significant number of older women present…. some with husbands, but quite a few that I would suppose were widows and were only accompanied by their elderly lady friends. They were overwhelmingly caucusing for Hillary. If these ladies are anything like my 82 year old mother, they aren’t on a computer much (or at all).

By: Donal

Donal — Fri, 05 Feb 2016 16:58:58 +0000

It seems to me that Sanders offers change (within the system) while Hillary offers business as usual. People clearly wanted change when they selected Obama, but got mostly gridlock and business as usual. They still want change and, other than the sad little militia in Oregon, are still working within the system. If Sanders is elected there will certainly be more gridlock, but it will be a step towards change.