Phil: I wonder about those predictions though. According to Bayes theorem, new information changes the next decision. Therefore if Sanders wins Iowa won’t that change Sanders chances in his favor?

Yes, very much so, unfortunately. Humans change their opinions based on what other peoples’ public opinions are. Scary, eh?

Not to mention your electoral college, which in three cases has elected the candidate with the fewest votes. Your electoral system was designed for conditions in the 1790s, not conditions today.

And with or without gerrymandering, a winner take all system is undemocratic and does not reflect the will of the electorate.

I.e., the Winged Monkeys have achieved their nirvana: Complete takeover and irreversible control of the government to now do as they please, the public be damned.

Interesting question: If somehow a law got passed to burn Snyder at the stake, and it had a small apportionment attached to it (to buy the rope, stake, and faggots, I suppose), would Snyder’s goose indeed be cooked?

Okay: you win! Good bloody gods!

Oh it gets “better”. There is a provision in our state Constitution that says any law passed with an apportionment of money attached cannot be changed by voter referendum.
The emergency manager law (designed to let the state impose a manager on a city the administration decides can’t be trusted to govern itself) Snyder has passed was, in its original form, voted out by the public in a referendum. It was passed again, with a small apportionment included. Can’t be touched. It was the Flint city emergency manager that was in charge of the change to the water supply, against advice from experts. The two laws I mentioned earlier also have apportionments attached to them. Several others have been passed this same way: the right to work law (which Snyder originally said he would not sign but then did), a law that protects adoption agencies run by religious organizations so they can continue to get state money while refusing to serve people who don’t meet their religious requirements, and more.

Of course, none of the monies specified in these apportionments has ever been used, due to “fiscal responsibility.”

Their elected winged monkeys turned them out on the streets and closed the mental health service centers and hospitals in order to avoid having to pay taxes to support them.