Comments on: The Hottest Year: 2014 https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/ Tue, 27 Jan 2015 08:17:59 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: Marco https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474764 Tue, 27 Jan 2015 08:17:59 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474764 Dan, it depends on how you define “margin of error” – Gavin Schmidt has a discussion on this on Realclimate.org.

Note that if you follow the approach of the Daily Mail, we have likely only had one “hottest year” (compared to prior years) in the past 150 years – 1998. All the other years are purely based on probabilities not warmer than the prior hottest year

]]> By: Dan Aldridge https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474763 Tue, 27 Jan 2015 06:38:38 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474763 (Apologies for the double post – please delete one version, as I originally thought the posting had failed)

]]> By: Dan Aldridge https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474762 Tue, 27 Jan 2015 06:36:27 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474762 Greg no argument there. The last thing I want to do is help out deniers – especially with anything relating to Dr. Mann! But if my friend caught this, others certainly will, so I just want to know if he’s right and how to respond. I know the DM is a crap source, but their number seems reasonable and don’t know where else to look to find the margin of error.

]]> By: Dan Aldridge https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474761 Tue, 27 Jan 2015 06:18:46 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474761 Greg I don’t disagree and believe me – I have no desire whatsoever to help deniers out – especially when it comes to anything that reflects on Dr. Mann – but also can’t ignore a contradiction, especially as the deniers will inevitably catch it anyway (my friend did, and I’d say he’s on the spectrum). Honestly I don’t know where to look to find out the margin of error, but the Daily Mail number seems credible, in spite of what a crappy source they generally are!

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474760 Mon, 26 Jan 2015 16:52:29 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474760 Dan that may or may not be correct, but why are you using a discredited source (the Daily Mail) to refer to a piece of data put out by a scientific agency, rather than the original?

]]> By: Dan Aldridge https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474759 Mon, 26 Jan 2015 14:12:13 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474759 As pointed out to me by a friend, Dr. Mann says that NOAA put the temperature increase at outside the margin of error, but the press release from NOAA says the increase was .04C. According to the Daily Mail’s recent “gotcha!” press release, the margin of error is .1 C

]]> By: Testing Matt Ridley’s Hypotheses About Global Warming – Greg Laden's Blog https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474758 Mon, 19 Jan 2015 21:59:25 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474758 […] does in fact drop slightly in upward slope in recent years. Ever. So. Slightly. But, in the end, 2014, which turned out to be the hottest year of the instrumental record so far, is dead on the long term prediction of warming. In other words, rather than warming slowing below […]

]]> By: New York Times Puts AGW Above The Fold, But … – Greg Laden's Blog https://gregladen.com/blog/2015/01/16/the-hottest-year-ever/#comment-474757 Sat, 17 Jan 2015 18:32:52 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=20755#comment-474757 […] New York Times put the news of 2014 being the warmest year on their front page, in the precious space known as “Above The Fold.” But, the […]

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