Comments on: Hurricane Arthur May Be Category Two On Contact With North Carolina Tonight. https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/ Sat, 05 Jul 2014 20:23:51 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.6 By: Michael Whaley https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480967 Sat, 05 Jul 2014 20:23:51 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480967 According to every dataset I could get, SST in the NH has risen about 1.2 degrees C since 1850.

]]> By: TDBanker https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480966 Fri, 04 Jul 2014 23:12:40 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480966 Even a few degrees warmer can cause some climate troubles. It will eventually melt the polar ice caps and we’ll be stuck on water world. Make sure everybody gets a boat.
DO IT!!

]]> By: Marco https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480965 Fri, 04 Jul 2014 19:11:12 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480965 Greg, “neutral science” is most likely “science that tells Todd Pedlar what he likes to hear”.

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480964 Fri, 04 Jul 2014 16:21:25 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480964 In reply to Todd Pedlar.

No, you are wrong. You are so wrong I can only assume you are making this up. Run along now.

]]> By: Todd Pedlar https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480963 Fri, 04 Jul 2014 14:34:45 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480963 SST values have not increased at all since the turn of the twentieth century. If people actually would look at the records this would be evident. The temperatures off the Atlantic seaboard are warm, but not unusually so at all. This is not unexpected, unusual, or in any way out of the ordinary. We need to stop irrationally blaming “climate change” for every storm that occurs and look at what neutral science actually reports.

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480962 Thu, 03 Jul 2014 18:03:04 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480962 Wendy they are probably either evacuating off shore rigs or battening down the hatches assuming they’ll be safe. They have excellent information about he weather, very detailed, and a lot of time to make the right decisions. The scientists will provide good administration and the safety engineers will make a good decision to keep him and his colleagues safe.

]]> By: wendy diaz https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480961 Thu, 03 Jul 2014 15:18:39 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480961 I have a question my man is working for the oil company so hes in middle of ocean in north Carolina is it affecting them to ?? Im like so worried .. ohh god plz keep them safe ..

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480960 Thu, 03 Jul 2014 14:32:12 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480960 Michael, at the moment a couple/few degrees C above a climatology of 1985-1993. But I’m not sure of the exact configuration of SST and the storm’s current or projected position. The North Atlantic in general is warmer.

What I don’t know off hand and which may not matter with at category 1 hurricane is if we’ll see medium depth effects like with Katrina and Yolanda, where the normally cooler (less than 80F) water meters below the surface is actually way warm, so as the storm churns up the normally cooling water it just churns up more hurricane-inducing warm water. I don’t know if that is the case with the Atlantic now.

]]> By: Michael Whaley https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/07/01/will-a-hurricane-arthur-hit-north-carolina-on-the-weekend-of-the-4th-of-july/#comment-480959 Thu, 03 Jul 2014 12:21:56 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19860#comment-480959 How much warmer than usual? That question stems from your statement: “But, perhaps more important, the sea surface in the area is warm, as expected with global warming,…”

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