Comments on: Has the Arctic Sea ice extent peaked for the year? https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/03/26/has-the-arctic-sea-ice-extent-peaked-for-the-year/ Thu, 27 Mar 2014 00:51:24 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.6 By: Roguer https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/03/26/has-the-arctic-sea-ice-extent-peaked-for-the-year/#comment-479441 Thu, 27 Mar 2014 00:51:24 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19223#comment-479441 Based on what I’ve seen from the charts you’ve posted, it seems likely that we’re at (or slightly past) the peak, but that it’s also possible – albeit less likely – that the peak may yet come, at a delayed point. Comparing the graphs, it seems that recent peaks are both lower AND later than the established average.

So perhaps it will duck back up, very slightly for a moment – but certainly not enough to make much of a difference. It’s still going to be very, very low for a “peak.”

-R

]]> By: cosmicomics https://gregladen.com/blog/2014/03/26/has-the-arctic-sea-ice-extent-peaked-for-the-year/#comment-479440 Wed, 26 Mar 2014 20:08:04 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=19223#comment-479440 According to the link below there are indications that a strong El Niño could be under way:

“Most of us who follow climate science closely have been watching with interest the developing situation in the Pacific Ocean with the Southern Oscillation and the predictions that we are headed for an El Nino..and a big one at that.”
http://uknowispeaksense.wordpress.com/2014/03/25/its-going-to-be-hot-very-hot/

If this is the case, the slowdown in surface warming will come to an end, and so will all talk of no warming since… (Until it starts again.)

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