Comments on: Can Monckton Put His Money Where Is Mouth Is? NO! it turns out (UPDATE) https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/ Tue, 24 Sep 2013 06:41:55 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.4.8 By: James https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489288 Tue, 24 Sep 2013 06:41:55 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489288 “I did not have title to sue because, in the US, I am counted at law as a “public figure” and the jerklet is not”

More proof that Monckton has no idea what he’s talking about.

]]> By: Chris Kennedy https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489287 Fri, 30 Aug 2013 00:31:19 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489287 @Peter Gleick

He definitely misused the word “skeptics” when he referred to himself as one.

]]> By: Peter Gleick https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489286 Thu, 29 Aug 2013 22:04:21 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489286 Isn’t he misusing the word “defalcating”?

]]> By: Greg Laden https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489285 Thu, 29 Aug 2013 21:11:47 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489285 Lord Christopher Monckton of the United Kingdom has responded to the offer of a wager on his promise of global cooling by threatening to file a law suit against the person, Professor John Abraham, who offered the wager.

]]> By: Dan J. Andrews https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489284 Thu, 29 Aug 2013 19:01:41 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489284 To answer the question of this post, “No”. Eli has details.
http://rabett.blogspot.ca/2013/08/goin-lord.html

Monckton has a school yard response that only lacks the “nyah-nyah, I know you are but what am I?”.

]]> By: afeman https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489283 Wed, 28 Aug 2013 16:24:57 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489283 As some econoblogger recently pointed out, individual bets don’t indicate belief so well as portfolios, which can have hedges.

]]> By: Tony Duncan https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489282 Wed, 28 Aug 2013 16:01:37 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489282 I think you need to quantify the size of volcanic eruption. To have enough of an impact to reduce temps, even with some natural variation forcing to -.5*C it would have to be extremely large or a series of fairly large eruptions.
I also think it might be more powerful if he made a smaller bet for the 2 year change. Let’s say $500 and then a much larger one for the 2020, say $2,000, which would show he is giving Moncton the benefit of the doubt. Even if Moncton lost the first one, he would easily make much more back with the second. That gives him no logical reason to not take the first bet. Unless of course he knows it is pure hogwash.

]]> By: KnightBiologist https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/28/can-monckton-put-his-money-where-is-mouth-is/#comment-489281 Wed, 28 Aug 2013 15:46:09 +0000 http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17590#comment-489281 From a favorite movie- “‘I will take your wager,’ replied the Sultan. ‘But if the wine is not here on the stroke of four, it will cost you your head, for I do not allow even my best friends to jest with me.”
Matters of life and death are one thing, but a wager (!), now that’s getting serious!

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