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	Comments on: Fukushima Update	</title>
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		<title>
		By: Roger		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489107</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Roger]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2013 21:13:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489107</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I was not there, but I am familiar with the movie, and saying it was about a meltdown is like pretending that Transformers is an accurate portrayal of robotics (because it has robots).  I&#039;m certainly not implying that you, or activist scientists, didn&#039;t know what you were talking about.  I am flat-out stating that the majority of anti-nuclear activists, especially the most visible, are quite off the mark.

So, no, I do not see it as a bunch of bullshit.  I recognize for you it might miss the mark, but I&#039;m not aiming my criticism at you, Greg.

TMI is not a smokescreen, for the record.  It WAS a meltdown (I&#039;ve seen the pictures; I&#039;m assuming that you have not, if you believe it was not a meltdown), and its occurrence lent a lot of credibility and buzz to the movie.  This, despite the fact that, as you know, TMI was a non-event in terms of human effects; that hardly matters in the public eye.  TMI was far more influential in nuclear policy-making than Chernobyl, because it happened here, and it followed right on the heels of the movie.  Fukushima is a far more apt relative to the China Syndrome, but that doesn&#039;t mask the fact that the movie is wildly inaccurate from a scientific standpoint.

Look, the fears it encapsulated, in a very basic sense, may be right on the mark: if a nuclear reactor melts down, the result could be catastrophic.  From a socio-political aspect (cover-ups, et al), it&#039;s excellent to apply it to Fukushima, because apart from the meltdown, THAT is what really happened!

But to relate it to your field, Encino Man is not a particularly accurate representation of an anthropological study.  There are far more accurate portrayals of the dangers of nuclear power in the form of documentaries.

Look, I have no dog in the fight: I&#039;m not pro-nuclear power, and I&#039;ll never work at a civilian plant, so I don&#039;t care if we never open another one.  But I&#039;m not particularly fond of misinformation, either (your second paragraph, referring to US risks from the disaster, show that you aren&#039;t, either).  I don&#039;t need some corporate industrial &quot;line&quot; about the supposed safety of nuclear reactors.  I&#039;ll take my extensive knowledge on how they work, instead, and base my judgements on that (which is probably why I don&#039;t like the movie; I likely let trivial data and inaccuracies stand in the way of the message writ large, but I think we all do that).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was not there, but I am familiar with the movie, and saying it was about a meltdown is like pretending that Transformers is an accurate portrayal of robotics (because it has robots).  I&#8217;m certainly not implying that you, or activist scientists, didn&#8217;t know what you were talking about.  I am flat-out stating that the majority of anti-nuclear activists, especially the most visible, are quite off the mark.</p>
<p>So, no, I do not see it as a bunch of bullshit.  I recognize for you it might miss the mark, but I&#8217;m not aiming my criticism at you, Greg.</p>
<p>TMI is not a smokescreen, for the record.  It WAS a meltdown (I&#8217;ve seen the pictures; I&#8217;m assuming that you have not, if you believe it was not a meltdown), and its occurrence lent a lot of credibility and buzz to the movie.  This, despite the fact that, as you know, TMI was a non-event in terms of human effects; that hardly matters in the public eye.  TMI was far more influential in nuclear policy-making than Chernobyl, because it happened here, and it followed right on the heels of the movie.  Fukushima is a far more apt relative to the China Syndrome, but that doesn&#8217;t mask the fact that the movie is wildly inaccurate from a scientific standpoint.</p>
<p>Look, the fears it encapsulated, in a very basic sense, may be right on the mark: if a nuclear reactor melts down, the result could be catastrophic.  From a socio-political aspect (cover-ups, et al), it&#8217;s excellent to apply it to Fukushima, because apart from the meltdown, THAT is what really happened!</p>
<p>But to relate it to your field, Encino Man is not a particularly accurate representation of an anthropological study.  There are far more accurate portrayals of the dangers of nuclear power in the form of documentaries.</p>
<p>Look, I have no dog in the fight: I&#8217;m not pro-nuclear power, and I&#8217;ll never work at a civilian plant, so I don&#8217;t care if we never open another one.  But I&#8217;m not particularly fond of misinformation, either (your second paragraph, referring to US risks from the disaster, show that you aren&#8217;t, either).  I don&#8217;t need some corporate industrial &#8220;line&#8221; about the supposed safety of nuclear reactors.  I&#8217;ll take my extensive knowledge on how they work, instead, and base my judgements on that (which is probably why I don&#8217;t like the movie; I likely let trivial data and inaccuracies stand in the way of the message writ large, but I think we all do that).</p>
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		<title>
		By: Greg Laden		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489106</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2013 15:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489106</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I would assume they&#039;ve used GPR but now that you mention it, I&#039;ve not seen any reference to post disaster surveys. But they did build a big giant nuclear power plant right on that spot, there must be a LOT of geotechnical information about the area from the initial work and subsequent upgrades to that information with re-licencing and so on. I would assume. But perhaps I should not assume.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I would assume they&#8217;ve used GPR but now that you mention it, I&#8217;ve not seen any reference to post disaster surveys. But they did build a big giant nuclear power plant right on that spot, there must be a LOT of geotechnical information about the area from the initial work and subsequent upgrades to that information with re-licencing and so on. I would assume. But perhaps I should not assume.</p>
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		<title>
		By: The Keystone Garter		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489105</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[The Keystone Garter]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2013 15:06:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489105</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[I suggest a ground penetrating radar survey of the land inland of Fukushima Plants and laterally uphill. The goal being to determine where groundwater is flowing and at what depth it generally flows. Also to determine the near-site soil geology.
With this information, a dyke could be enacted to divert groundwater around the area of the Reactors, and the radioactive water tanks. If there are large subsurface preferential channels, boreholes could be drilled and the rainwater subsurface piping could be directly pumped around the Reactor site to sea.
Cameras of overland flow could monitor surface flows and surface concrete canals build; IDK how much surface flow the area has. Water tracers could be released at higher gorund elevations and then measured at shore. I doubt the utility of radio-tracers. I view storing all this water as a distraction from higher priority goals; if you wait too many decades to get at the melted fuel blobs, another earthquake will hit.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I suggest a ground penetrating radar survey of the land inland of Fukushima Plants and laterally uphill. The goal being to determine where groundwater is flowing and at what depth it generally flows. Also to determine the near-site soil geology.<br />
With this information, a dyke could be enacted to divert groundwater around the area of the Reactors, and the radioactive water tanks. If there are large subsurface preferential channels, boreholes could be drilled and the rainwater subsurface piping could be directly pumped around the Reactor site to sea.<br />
Cameras of overland flow could monitor surface flows and surface concrete canals build; IDK how much surface flow the area has. Water tracers could be released at higher gorund elevations and then measured at shore. I doubt the utility of radio-tracers. I view storing all this water as a distraction from higher priority goals; if you wait too many decades to get at the melted fuel blobs, another earthquake will hit.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Doug Alder		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489104</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Doug Alder]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2013 04:29:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489104</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Greg - I know back then we were thinking stuff like that - I was there too (I&#039;m 64 in 3 weeks) and remember it well. I was trying (poorly) to say that I don&#039;t know how stridently  the Japanese citizenry were saying it too (it wasn&#039;t until 76 that i went to Japan and I knew people there then that were not happy with it - but that&#039;s just hearsay and I do remember seeing news clips at home of big protest marches) - it would be interesting to go through the Japanese newspapers of the time and see what level of protests there were and the substance of them. Unfortunately I do not read Japanese so I can&#039;t. 

Given the nuclear fallout heritage of  Japan  I&#039;m somewhat surprised they went this route (then again since &#039;45 they no longer have access to cheap petroleum and NG so not a hell of a lot of choice.

For me the most stunning bit of negligent planning by TESCO (aside from putting it right on the coast in a country with a long history of tsunamii) was not putting the backup generators where they could not be destroyed by earthquake or tsunami - had they done so much of this disaster could have been averted.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Greg &#8211; I know back then we were thinking stuff like that &#8211; I was there too (I&#8217;m 64 in 3 weeks) and remember it well. I was trying (poorly) to say that I don&#8217;t know how stridently  the Japanese citizenry were saying it too (it wasn&#8217;t until 76 that i went to Japan and I knew people there then that were not happy with it &#8211; but that&#8217;s just hearsay and I do remember seeing news clips at home of big protest marches) &#8211; it would be interesting to go through the Japanese newspapers of the time and see what level of protests there were and the substance of them. Unfortunately I do not read Japanese so I can&#8217;t. </p>
<p>Given the nuclear fallout heritage of  Japan  I&#8217;m somewhat surprised they went this route (then again since &#8217;45 they no longer have access to cheap petroleum and NG so not a hell of a lot of choice.</p>
<p>For me the most stunning bit of negligent planning by TESCO (aside from putting it right on the coast in a country with a long history of tsunamii) was not putting the backup generators where they could not be destroyed by earthquake or tsunami &#8211; had they done so much of this disaster could have been averted.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Greg Laden		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489103</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 22 Aug 2013 02:40:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489103</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Roger, that&#039;s a bunch of bullshit and you know it. The exact nature of a nuclear meltdown or any similar type of disaster is so specific to the circumstances that demanding that people&#039;s concerns match actual accidents is absurd. 

I think maybe you were not there, and have a concept of what people were saying that was fed to you by your own industry.  I was there. I know what I was thinking at the time, and I know what others were as well. And, the truth is, the movie, as a piece of fiction (70s fiction at that) was a damn good representation of a real live engineering problem that people really were concerned about and that did, in fact, actually happen at Fukushima. (Please, don&#039;t throw up the TMI smokescreen.  Nobody has said that a meltdown of any kind happened there)

The China Syndrome was a movie about a meltdown, by the way. The canard that &quot;a china syndrome is this or that or is not this or that therefore nobody knew anything&quot; is infantile.  Cut it out.

Real people had real concerns about real things that really happened and you are not going to get away with dismissing those things.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Roger, that&#8217;s a bunch of bullshit and you know it. The exact nature of a nuclear meltdown or any similar type of disaster is so specific to the circumstances that demanding that people&#8217;s concerns match actual accidents is absurd. </p>
<p>I think maybe you were not there, and have a concept of what people were saying that was fed to you by your own industry.  I was there. I know what I was thinking at the time, and I know what others were as well. And, the truth is, the movie, as a piece of fiction (70s fiction at that) was a damn good representation of a real live engineering problem that people really were concerned about and that did, in fact, actually happen at Fukushima. (Please, don&#8217;t throw up the TMI smokescreen.  Nobody has said that a meltdown of any kind happened there)</p>
<p>The China Syndrome was a movie about a meltdown, by the way. The canard that &#8220;a china syndrome is this or that or is not this or that therefore nobody knew anything&#8221; is infantile.  Cut it out.</p>
<p>Real people had real concerns about real things that really happened and you are not going to get away with dismissing those things.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Roger		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489102</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Roger]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Aug 2013 20:02:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489102</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[That&#039;s the problem: a China Syndrome type meltdown is neither particularly practical nor what happened (and certainly not geographically accurate, but that&#039;s irrelevant).  A meltdown happened.  What separates the meltdown from, say, TMI (other than the earthquake and tsunami), was the mismanagement by TEPCO, improper storage of fuel cells, and pretending that the crisis wasn&#039;t serious to the international community.

It&#039;s remarkable how often that is the case: an absolute disaster is downplayed by the hosts until it is past the point of no return.

A study of TMI and Chernobyl lends credence to why so many people remember the China Syndrome, but it does not make it more plausible or accurate from an engineering standpoint.  At the risk of repeating myself, I insist that protestors arguing against nuclear power as an industry were largely wide of the mark.  Unless they were arguing against storing spent fuel rods on site, without a proper disposal plan, and the dangers of a corporate/government environment predisposed to cover-ups.

That&#039;s why I am hesitant to give people too much credit for their foresight.  Predicting disaster is easy, and nuclear power has a long way to go to catch up to much more traditional engineering fields in terms of disasters and loss of life.  Providing useful feedback - WHAT is wrong, HOW it can be fixed - is far less often encountered.  A NIMBY approach, like Germany, doesn&#039;t do you much good when you end up facing energy shortfalls and the very real likelihood of increased dependence on coal plants (and thus more pollution, cancer, etc.).

The obvious example is that opponents of pesticides usually cite potential health effects.  The Bhopal disaster didn&#039;t make pesticide opponents into prophets, because that wasn&#039;t what they were predicting or opposing.  Japan and TEPCO royally screwing the pooch, skipping routine maintenance, failing inspections while continuing to operate, refusing to admit the scope of the disaster once it occurred, etc., does not retroactively make the China Syndrome into a documentary.

(Seriously, some day, ask Richard Gere or Martin Sheen exactly WHY they oppose nuclear power.  It&#039;s no less humorous, sad, or ill-informed than Jenny MacCarthy against vaccines, or any other anti-science cause.  Scientists against nuclear power is one thing; actors, a completely different, and laughable, thing.)]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>That&#8217;s the problem: a China Syndrome type meltdown is neither particularly practical nor what happened (and certainly not geographically accurate, but that&#8217;s irrelevant).  A meltdown happened.  What separates the meltdown from, say, TMI (other than the earthquake and tsunami), was the mismanagement by TEPCO, improper storage of fuel cells, and pretending that the crisis wasn&#8217;t serious to the international community.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s remarkable how often that is the case: an absolute disaster is downplayed by the hosts until it is past the point of no return.</p>
<p>A study of TMI and Chernobyl lends credence to why so many people remember the China Syndrome, but it does not make it more plausible or accurate from an engineering standpoint.  At the risk of repeating myself, I insist that protestors arguing against nuclear power as an industry were largely wide of the mark.  Unless they were arguing against storing spent fuel rods on site, without a proper disposal plan, and the dangers of a corporate/government environment predisposed to cover-ups.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why I am hesitant to give people too much credit for their foresight.  Predicting disaster is easy, and nuclear power has a long way to go to catch up to much more traditional engineering fields in terms of disasters and loss of life.  Providing useful feedback &#8211; WHAT is wrong, HOW it can be fixed &#8211; is far less often encountered.  A NIMBY approach, like Germany, doesn&#8217;t do you much good when you end up facing energy shortfalls and the very real likelihood of increased dependence on coal plants (and thus more pollution, cancer, etc.).</p>
<p>The obvious example is that opponents of pesticides usually cite potential health effects.  The Bhopal disaster didn&#8217;t make pesticide opponents into prophets, because that wasn&#8217;t what they were predicting or opposing.  Japan and TEPCO royally screwing the pooch, skipping routine maintenance, failing inspections while continuing to operate, refusing to admit the scope of the disaster once it occurred, etc., does not retroactively make the China Syndrome into a documentary.</p>
<p>(Seriously, some day, ask Richard Gere or Martin Sheen exactly WHY they oppose nuclear power.  It&#8217;s no less humorous, sad, or ill-informed than Jenny MacCarthy against vaccines, or any other anti-science cause.  Scientists against nuclear power is one thing; actors, a completely different, and laughable, thing.)</p>
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		<title>
		By: Greg Laden		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489101</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Aug 2013 13:21:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489101</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Doug, we don&#039;t have to guess.  We can remember. There were indeed.  

By the way, on a more global level (or a US level maybe) this is where fiction comes in handy.In case anyone questions whether or not anti-nuclear sentiment included the idea of a china syndrome type meltdown (which happened at Fuki) we can just go watch the Jane Fonda movie.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Doug, we don&#8217;t have to guess.  We can remember. There were indeed.  </p>
<p>By the way, on a more global level (or a US level maybe) this is where fiction comes in handy.In case anyone questions whether or not anti-nuclear sentiment included the idea of a china syndrome type meltdown (which happened at Fuki) we can just go watch the Jane Fonda movie.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Doug Alder		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489100</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Doug Alder]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Aug 2013 21:37:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489100</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[#16 given the dearth of general science and engineering education, together with the abundance of misinformation spread by some news media and teh intertubes , it&#039;s (sadly)unlikely most people would consider getting on board a nuclear powered train 

#2 - with regards to stopped clock - I would be very surprised- and this also refers to Greg&#039;s response in #19 - if there were not lots of local arguments at the time against building reactors in Japan given their earthquake/tsunami history.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#16 given the dearth of general science and engineering education, together with the abundance of misinformation spread by some news media and teh intertubes , it&#8217;s (sadly)unlikely most people would consider getting on board a nuclear powered train </p>
<p>#2 &#8211; with regards to stopped clock &#8211; I would be very surprised- and this also refers to Greg&#8217;s response in #19 &#8211; if there were not lots of local arguments at the time against building reactors in Japan given their earthquake/tsunami history.</p>
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		<title>
		By: ron		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489099</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ron]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Aug 2013 17:54:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489099</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[http://www.earthtechling.com/2013/08/navy-sees-fuel-cells-ready-for-front-lines/

The ONR, the scientific research arm of the Navy and Marine Corps, is talking up the new Solid-Oxide Fuel Cell Tactical Electrical Power Unit that uses technology developed through its programs. A 10-kilowatt unit was demonstrated at the Army’s Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland earlier this summer, and it used 44 percent less fuel than a similarly sized conventional generator, the ONR said.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.earthtechling.com/2013/08/navy-sees-fuel-cells-ready-for-front-lines/" rel="nofollow ugc">http://www.earthtechling.com/2013/08/navy-sees-fuel-cells-ready-for-front-lines/</a></p>
<p>The ONR, the scientific research arm of the Navy and Marine Corps, is talking up the new Solid-Oxide Fuel Cell Tactical Electrical Power Unit that uses technology developed through its programs. A 10-kilowatt unit was demonstrated at the Army’s Aberdeen Proving Ground in Maryland earlier this summer, and it used 44 percent less fuel than a similarly sized conventional generator, the ONR said.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Greg Laden		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2013/08/16/fukushima-update-2/#comment-489098</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Aug 2013 16:38:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/?p=17480#comment-489098</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[As I said, the Navy.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As I said, the Navy.</p>
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