If Romney wins the noomination, I will vote for Obama, and I will look for a third party that represents reflective conservative thought based on our old Christian Western Civilization.

If conservatism is not about doing that, then it isnt worth a bucket of spit.

Also, it depends on how many Democrats show up. Now that we can’t try to nominate Bachman for them, it’s taken some of the fun out of it.

This all assumes an equivalence between PPP and Mitchel polling, and accuracy of polling that is reasonable to expect much, but not all, of the time.

It seems the Mitchel poll had about twice the sample size of the PPP one. And I’d also grant them something of a local advantage – in local contests the smaller, local polling outfits often have a better track record that bigger national ones, because they have a much more precise grip on the demographics of the area and the prediction of turnout.

So, yeah, it looks like Rick just might pull it off after all.