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	<title>
	Comments on: Sudden movement in the Franken-Coleman Senate Race Recount	</title>
	<atom:link href="https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/</link>
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		<title>
		By: watch movies		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533438</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[watch movies]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 22:54:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533438</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[thanks for sharing.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>thanks for sharing.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
		
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		<title>
		By: DrBadger		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533437</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[DrBadger]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 20:20:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533437</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In this one instance, I&#039;m glad that the senate term is 6 years.  If this was a house race, a quarter of the term would pretty much have passed already!]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this one instance, I&#8217;m glad that the senate term is 6 years.  If this was a house race, a quarter of the term would pretty much have passed already!</p>
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		<title>
		By: Mystyk		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533436</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mystyk]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 20:11:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533436</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Well, you&#039;re right about it being 226 (instead of 225 - need that +1), but the remaining votes are up for grabs. We can statistically model the chances for the remaining votes by all candidates, but we can&#039;t be certain.

- If all 400 votes were for either Coleman or Franken, Coleman would need 50% of that remainder (87 of 174) for a total of 313 votes (78.25%).

- If all 174 others were for a third-party candidate, he&#039;d need only the 226 votes (56.5%).

- If the third party guess of 60 votes is correct, 50% of the remainder (57 of 114) gives a total of 283 (70.75%).]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, you&#8217;re right about it being 226 (instead of 225 &#8211; need that +1), but the remaining votes are up for grabs. We can statistically model the chances for the remaining votes by all candidates, but we can&#8217;t be certain.</p>
<p>&#8211; If all 400 votes were for either Coleman or Franken, Coleman would need 50% of that remainder (87 of 174) for a total of 313 votes (78.25%).</p>
<p>&#8211; If all 174 others were for a third-party candidate, he&#8217;d need only the 226 votes (56.5%).</p>
<p>&#8211; If the third party guess of 60 votes is correct, 50% of the remainder (57 of 114) gives a total of 283 (70.75%).</p>
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		<title>
		By: The Science Pundit		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533435</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[The Science Pundit]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 19:30:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533435</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The rethugs will start &lt;i&gt;World War III&lt;/i&gt; to prevent the passage of health care reform.  I can&#039;t wait for the day that Franken takes his rightful seat in the US Senate.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The rethugs will start <i>World War III</i> to prevent the passage of health care reform.  I can&#8217;t wait for the day that Franken takes his rightful seat in the US Senate.</p>
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		<title>
		By: Greg Laden		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533434</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Greg Laden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 18:56:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533434</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Doh.... Right.  283 votes = 83 percent, or 71 percent of the total (again, with the third party getting 60 votes).

So, even more so. ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Doh&#8230;. Right.  283 votes = 83 percent, or 71 percent of the total (again, with the third party getting 60 votes).</p>
<p>So, even more so. </p>
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		<title>
		By: Stephanie Z		</title>
		<link>https://gregladen.com/blog/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533433</link>

		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Stephanie Z]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 18:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scienceblogs.com/gregladen/2009/03/31/sudden-movement-in-the-franken/#comment-533433</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Actually, he&#039;d have to get 226 plus half the remaining votes, or 283 votes, or 83%.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Actually, he&#8217;d have to get 226 plus half the remaining votes, or 283 votes, or 83%.</p>
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