Tomas: “There is considerable uncertainty …

… as to how strong Tomas will get in the latter part of the forecast period.”

Less than 48 hours ago, it was predicted that Tomas would by now be a Category One hurricane, and in a couple of more days, a Category Three hurricane, as it turned towards Haiti.

There has been wind shear.

Now, Tomas is a poorly organized tropical storm that is expected to weaken further, still turning towards Haiti.

It is still predicted that Tomas will reach hurricane strength by Thursday as it begins to bear down on Haiti. It is also predicted that Tomas will remain more or less intact as a cyclone after passing over the island into the North Atlantic where it will reform as, or remain, a Hurricane.

There are still no coastal warnings or watches.

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